Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.085245 1.261660 1.450909 1.668256 1.910187 2.170426 2.470722
2025-05-18 0.804872 1.054599 1.346873 1.710309 2.146014 2.647430 3.263708
2025-05-25 0.587129 0.863612 1.214848 1.683999 2.283689 3.013736 3.957808
2025-06-01 0.455992 0.746237 1.143158 1.707142 2.467642 3.436501 4.740537
2025-06-08 0.353019 0.641273 1.064199 1.700317 2.600001 3.792363 5.452758
2025-06-15 0.298354 0.593750 1.053990 1.779597 2.846048 4.304111 6.388657
2025-06-22 0.247456 0.539794 1.023008 1.819903 3.033930 4.741803 7.242224
2025-06-29 0.194813 0.469766 0.953835 1.790271 3.111731 5.024276 7.890407
2025-07-06 0.162616 0.429401 0.926058 1.819418 3.274730 5.431153 8.724996
2025-07-13 0.135440 0.391991 0.896669 1.840252 3.422525 5.818997 9.544353
2025-07-20 0.114031 0.361196 0.873889 1.867903 3.579829 6.224857 10.402123
2025-07-27 0.093909 0.327587 0.839911 1.870684 3.694042 6.567337 11.175950
2025-08-03 0.073143 0.286527 0.785702 1.833351 3.742898 6.818261 11.835253
2025-08-10 0.059658 0.260443 0.758616 1.843948 3.874274 7.205718 12.719126
2025-08-17 0.045490 0.226424 0.707478 1.801248 3.907960 7.436958 13.370191
2025-08-24 0.037244 0.207719 0.688074 1.819136 4.049442 7.847379 14.312641
2025-08-31 0.029322 0.186143 0.657261 1.809141 4.137697 8.171779 15.128296
2025-09-07 0.026127 0.181511 0.669006 1.891053 4.401955 8.800699 16.449338
2025-09-14 0.022043 0.170973 0.662955 1.932742 4.591173 9.308195 17.588238
2025-09-21 0.016716 0.151038 0.626509 1.901441 4.636080 9.568121 18.330182
2025-09-28 0.013810 0.141237 0.617360 1.931879 4.803390 10.045756 19.442462
2025-10-05 0.011227 0.131177 0.605256 1.953662 4.953809 10.497995 20.523921
2025-10-12 0.009201 0.122775 0.596585 1.982609 5.119737 10.982615 21.671426